Segunda Division
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pedro Serra 19' goal
  • Pedro Serra 34' yellowcard
  • Oscar Naasei Oppong 39' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Rodriguez 40'
  • yellowcard Marcos Fernandez Sanchez 62'
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 68'

Granada vs Ceuta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.15pm
Leonesa 0 - 1 Granada
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jose Arnaiz

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 1.00pm
Ceuta 1 - 0 Burgos
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Jose Matos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.51% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Granada 57.65%
Draw 23.51%
Ceuta 18.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.31%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.69%
Under 2.5 51.31%
Over 3.5 26.86%
Under 3.5 73.14%
Over 4.5 12.56%
Under 4.5 87.44%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5 82.43%
Under 0.5 17.57%
Over 1.5 51.88%
Under 1.5 48.11%

Ceuta Goals

Over 0.5 58.6%
Under 0.5 41.39%
Over 1.5 22.09%
Under 1.5 77.91%

Score analysis

Granada 57.63%
Draw 23.5%
Ceuta 18.84%
Granada
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 5.62%
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 57.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.5%
Ceuta
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 18.84%