Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 57.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.51% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.