Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.