Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (10.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.