Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.01% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%) , while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.