Australian A-League

Dec 21, 2025 at 2am UK

Wellington Wellington Phoenix
3-1
Central Coast Central Coast Mariners

Piper (36'), James (49' pen.), Armiento (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ngor (45+6')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, December 21 at 2am in Australian A-League

Next Game: Victory vs. Wellington
Monday, December 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 3-1 Central Coast
Sunday, December 21 at 2am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
41.74% ( 0.04)	25.01% ( -0.1)	33.26% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.09% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

0.46)

46.25% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

0.43)

68.54% (

-0.43)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88% (

0.22)

22.12% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51% (

0.33)

55.49% (

-0.33)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.26)

26.7% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05% (

0.34)

61.96% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 41.74%

Central Coast Mariners 33.26%

Draw 25%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.26%