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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 21, 2025 at 2am UK
 
Central Coast Mariners

vs.

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 1-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, December 14 at 2am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Auckland FC
Friday, December 12 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 32.06% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 0-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
42.9%25.04%32.06%
Both teams to score 56.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95%69.05%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2%21.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99%55.01%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29%27.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73%63.27%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 42.9%
    Central Coast Mariners 32.06%
    Draw 25.04%
Wellington PhoenixDrawCentral Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 8.99%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.06%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 4am
gameweek 16
Wellington
0-0
Central Coast
Retre (24'), Retre (24'), Sheridan (70'), Sheridan (70')
Harrington (50'), Harrington (50'), Paull (73'), Paull (73'), Steele (90+2'), Steele (90+2')
Nov 10, 2024 5am
gameweek 4
Central Coast
0-3
Wellington

Kuzevski (6'), Kuzevski (6'), Doka (45+1'), McCalmont (45+2'), Doka (45+1'), McCalmont (45+2')
Ishige (15', 15'), Barbarouses (39', 39'), Sutton (53', 53')
Sutton (35'), Sutton (35'), Nagasawa (60'), Nagasawa (60')
Apr 6, 2024 7.30am
gameweek 23
Central Coast
2-1
Wellington
Torres (61', 61'), Doka (90+1', 90+1')
Jackson (25'), Jackson (25'), Kaltack (72'), Kaltack (72')
Old (78', 78')
Salas (24'), Salas (24')
Feb 6, 2024 3am