Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 32.06% and a draw has a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 0-1 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 42.9% | 25.04% | 32.06% |
| Both teams to score 56.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% | 46.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% | 69.05% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% | 55.01% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% | 27.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% | 63.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.06% |