Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.