Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Jan 25, 2025 at 4am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
0 - 0
Central Coast

Retre (24'), Retre (24'), Sheridan (70'), Sheridan (70')

Harrington (50'), Harrington (50'), Paull (73'), Paull (73'), Steele (90+2'), Steele (90+2')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Monday, January 20 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-3 Central Coast
Friday, January 17 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
30.88% ( 0.65)	24.5% ( 0.23)	44.63% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

-0.75)

44.82% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

-0.73)

67.18% (

0.74)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

0.05)

27.51% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99% (

0.06)

63.01% (

-0.06)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8% (

-0.69)

20.2% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.49% (

-1.11)

52.51% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 30.88%

Central Coast Mariners 44.63%

Draw 24.5%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.63%