Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Jan 20, 2025 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Macarthur
1 - 2
Wellington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hollman (16'), Nagasawa (65'), Barbarouses (71' pen.)
Sutton (74'), Kelly-Heald (87')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur
Sunday, January 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Sydney FC
Wednesday, January 15 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawWellington Phoenix
47.8% (0.685 0.69)23% (0.060000000000002 0.06)29.2% (-0.747 -0.75)
Both teams to score 62.14% (-0.729 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.744 -0.74)38.73% (0.742 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.789 -0.79)61.03% (0.786 0.79)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)16.52% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)46.26% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.848 -0.85)25.56% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-1.169 -1.17)60.42% (1.168 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 47.8%
    Wellington Phoenix 29.2%
    Draw 22.99%
MacarthurDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.084 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.257 0.26)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.8%
1-1 @ 10.37% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Wellington

Macarthur
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Wellington Phoenix
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 4am
Gameweek 8
Wellington
1-2
Macarthur
Barbarouses (44')
Germain (7'), Bosnjak (75')
Adamson (87')
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
Gameweek 26
Wellington
3-0
Macarthur
Barbarouses (22'), Payne (29'), Zawada (90+2' pen.)
Rufer (54'), Salas (84'), Zawada (87')

Drew (41')
Feb 18, 2024 7.01am
Gameweek 17
Macarthur
1-2
Wellington
Oliveira (78')
Lewis (22'), M'Mombwa (75')
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Dec 18, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington

Nicolaou (9'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Baccus (85')
Kraev (40'), Barbarouses (58', 61')
Rufer (13'), Pennington (26')
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Gameweek 26
Macarthur
0-1
Wellington
Zawada (11')
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