Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 14, 2024 at 4am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
1 - 2
Macarthur

Barbarouses (44', 44')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Germain (7', 7'), Bosnjak (75', 75')
Adamson (87'), Adamson (87')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 7 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-0 Macarthur
Saturday, December 7 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
40.89% ( 0.88)	24.68% ( 0.23)	34.43% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 58.56% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

-1.28)

44.47% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

-1.25)

66.84% (

1.25)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-0.13)

21.76% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.2)

54.94% (

0.19)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

-1.23)

25.15% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

-1.72)

59.86% (

1.72)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 40.89%

Macarthur 34.43%

Draw 24.68%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.43%