Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 10, 2024 at 5am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
0 - 3
Wellington

Kuzevski (6'), Kuzevski (6'), Doka (45+1'), McCalmont (45+2'), Doka (45+1'), McCalmont (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Ishige (15', 15'), Barbarouses (39', 39'), Sutton (53', 53')
Sutton (35'), Sutton (35'), Nagasawa (60'), Nagasawa (60')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 0-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 2 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, November 2 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
47.66% ( 0.23)	24.27% ( -0.05)	28.07% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.65% (

0.11)

45.35% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.32% (

0.11)

67.68% (

-0.11)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

0.14)

19.13% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

0.23)

50.77% (

-0.22)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

-0.07)

29.71% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

-0.09)

65.76% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 47.66%

Wellington Phoenix 28.07%

Draw 24.26%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 47.66%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.07%