Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%).
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 48.44% | 23.32% | 28.24% |
| Both teams to score 60.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% | 63.27% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% | 17.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% | 27.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% | 62.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-1 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.24% |