Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 6, 2024 at 7.30am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 1
Wellington

Torres (61', 61'), Doka (90+1', 90+1')
Jackson (25'), Jackson (25'), Kaltack (72'), Kaltack (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Old (78', 78')
Salas (24'), Salas (24')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, April 2 at 9am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
63.57% ( -0.27)	18.72% ( 0.11)	17.71% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 62.6% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.49% (

-0.28)

31.51% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.01% (

-0.33)

52.99% (

0.33)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.5% (

-0.14)

9.49% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.15% (

-0.33)

31.85% (

0.33)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.02)

30.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89% (

-0.02)

67.1% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 63.57%

Wellington Phoenix 17.71%

Draw 18.72%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.57%	1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.72%	1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.4% Total : 17.71%