Australian A-League
Gameweek
19
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-
Ben Old
34'
-
Ben Old
34'
-
Oskar van Hattum
69'
-
Oskar van Hattum
69'
-
Ben Old
78'
-
Ben Old
78'
-
Isaias Sanchez
54'
-
Isaias Sanchez
54'
-
Luka Jovanovic
60'
-
Luka Jovanovic
60'
-
Benjamin Warland
75'
-
Benjamin Warland
76'
-
Nestory Irankunda
90'+2'
-
Nestory Irankunda
90'+2'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
90'+4'
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Hiroshi Ibusuki
90'+4'
-
Nestory Irankunda
90'+4'
-
Nestory Irankunda
90'+4'
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.04%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result
Wellington Phoenix
40.01%
▲
(+0.35)
Draw
22.68%
▲
(+0.43)
Adelaide United
37.3%
▼
(-0.78)
Both Teams to Score:
66.57%
▼
(-1.78)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.76%
▼
(-2.27)
Under 2.5
34.24%
▲
(+2.28)
Over 3.5
43.86%
▼
(-2.61)
Under 3.5
56.14%
▲
(+2.62)
Over 4.5
25.33%
▼
(-2.25)
Under 4.5
74.67%
▲
(+2.25)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
82.19%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 0.5
17.81%
▲
(+0.82)
Over 1.5
51.47%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 1.5
48.53%
▲
(+1.43)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5
80.99%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 0.5
19%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 1.5
49.44%
▼
(-2.28)
Under 1.5
50.56%
▲
(+2.28)
Score analysis
Wellington Phoenix
40.01%
Draw
22.68%
Adelaide United
37.3%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1
@
8.37%
▲
(+0.20)
1-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.53)
2-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 40.01%
1-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.53)
2-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 40.01%
Draw
1-1
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.48)
2-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.39)
3-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.68%
2-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.14)
0-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.39)
3-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.68%
Adelaide United
1-2
@
8.05%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 37.3%
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.42)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.25)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 37.3%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
11
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
26'
-
Nestory Irankunda
37'
-
Ryan Tunnicliffe
41'
-
Alexandar Popovic
43'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
55'
-
Benjamin Warland
83'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
90'+4'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
15'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
46'
-
Alex Paulsen
77'
-
Oskar van Hattum
90'+2'
Australian A-League
-
Craig Goodwin
19'
-
Craig Goodwin
67'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
21
-
Scott Wootton
16'
-
Luka Jovanovic
23'
-
Lachlan Barr
51'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
62'
-
Craig Goodwin
71'
-
Alex Rufer
54'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
8
-
Oskar Zawada
2'
-
Bozhidar Kraev
37'
-
Yan Sasse
61'
-
Craig Goodwin
12'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
1
-
Ben Waine
75'
-
Ben Halloran
90'+3'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
14
-
Gael Sandoval
20'
-
Oliver Sail
90'
-
Michael Jakobsen
23'
-
Bernardo Oliveira
90'+2'