Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 3, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
0 - 4
Central Coast

Mauk (85'), Jovanovic (88')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Theoharous (31', 31'), Torres (43', 43', 45+2'), Reec (90' pen.)
Doka (41'), Doka (41'), Torres (73')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Adelaide United
Thursday, January 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.75%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
36.73% ( -1.05)	21.59% ( 0.17)	41.67% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 70.86% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.33% (

-1.04)

28.67% (

1.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.43% (

-1.29)

49.56% (

1.28)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

-0.9)

16.78% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25% (

-1.62)

46.74% (

1.61)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.12)

14.83% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.85% (

-0.21)

43.14% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 36.73%

Central Coast Mariners 41.67%

Draw 21.59%

Adelaide United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 36.73%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.59%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.67%