Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Jan 8, 2024 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
1 - 1
Macarthur

Halloran (16')
Sanchez (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Germain (32')
Baccus (14'), Vujica (24'), Sterjovski (45+2'), Jurman (63')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Wellington
Thursday, January 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 5 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
48.45% ( 0.13)	20.9% ( 0.07)	30.64% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 71.12% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.57% (

-0.46)

27.42% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.97% (

-0.58)

48.02% (

0.57)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0.13)

12.13% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28% (

-0.27)

37.71% (

0.27)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0.33)

19.06% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.34% (

-0.56)

50.65% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 48.45%

Macarthur 30.64%

Draw 20.9%

Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.45%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.64%