Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.25%) and 3-1 (6.22%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 50.87% ( | 21.41% ( | 27.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.96% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.39% ( | 53.61% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.95% ( | 13.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.38% ( | 39.61% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( | 23.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( | 56.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 5-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.87% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.72% |