Australian A-League | Gameweek 8

Dec 18, 2023 at 8am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
0 - 3
Wellington

Nicolaou (9'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Baccus (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kraev (40'), Barbarouses (58', 61')
Rufer (13'), Pennington (26')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 0-3 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, December 9 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
52.44% ( 0.49)	21.7% ( 0.05)	25.85% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 63.95% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.89% (

-0.73)

35.11% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.88% (

-0.82)

57.11% (

0.82)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.1)

13.63% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

-0.2)

40.79% (

0.2)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04% (

-0.77)

25.96% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.03% (

-1.05)

60.97% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 52.44%

Wellington Phoenix 25.85%

Draw 21.7%

Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.85%