Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
1 - 0
Melbourne City

Kraev (48', 48')
Kraev (72'), Kraev (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Good (68'), Good (68')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 1-3 (5.96%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne City
29.61% ( -0.11)	21.71% ( 0.13)	48.68% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 67.26% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.85% (

-0.73)

32.15% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.27% (

-0.85)

53.73% (

0.86)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-0.43)

22% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

-0.66)

55.31% (

0.66)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

-0.27)

13.77% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.92% (

-0.54)

41.08% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 29.61%

Melbourne City 48.68%

Draw 21.71%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.61%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.68%