Australian A-League
Melbourne City
May 19, 2023 10.45am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Sydney FC
  • Curtis Good 37' goal
  • Jack Rodwell 59' goal
  • Marco Tilio 67' goal
  • Richard van der Venne 82' goal

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 12, 2023 10.45am
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 12, 2023 10.45am
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Adam le Fondre

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 53.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 22.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Sydney FC 24.43% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.05% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.76% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 38.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 39.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 60.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 21.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 78.28% ▼ (-0.05)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 85.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 14.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 57.75% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 42.25% ▼ (-0.09)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 53.52%
Draw 22.06%
Sydney FC 24.43%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 53.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.06%
Sydney FC
1-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 24.43%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Sydney FC
May 12, 2023 10.45am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Melbourne City
  • Adam le Fondre 64' goal
  • goal Mathew Leckie 18'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT AAMI Park
Sydney FC
  • Jamie MacLaren 5' goal
  • Marco Tilio 13' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 30' goal
  • goal Robert Mak 28'
  • goal Diego Caballo 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Sydney FC
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Joe Lolley 23' goal
  • Adam le Fondre 61' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 22'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Sydney FC
  • Jordan Bos 26' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 55' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 70' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 72' goal
  • yellowcard Adam le Fondre 32'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 35'
  • yellowcard Callum Talbot 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Sydney FC
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Melbourne City
  • Rhyan Grant 41' yellowcard
  • Milos Ninkovic 53' goal
  • Connor O'Toole 66' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Paulo Retre 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Florin Berenguer 72'
  • yellowcard Jamie MacLaren 74'
  • goal Mathew Leckie 90'+1'
Australian A-League
Melbourne City
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Sydney FC
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 23' goal
  • Scott Jamieson 45'+1' goal
  • Marco Tilio 54' yellowcard
  • Stefan Colakovski 73' yellowcard
  • Scott Galloway 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 21'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 25'
  • redcard Luke Brattan 35'

Form Data

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney
Western Utd 1 - 3 Melbourne City
Central Coast 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 4 - 1 Wellington
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Victory
Sydney FC 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Sydney FC 4 - 1 Perth Glory
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Sydney FC