Australian A-League | 2nd Leg

May 19, 2023 at 10.45am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
4 - 0
Sydney FC

(Melbourne City win 5-1 on aggregate)

Good (37'), Rodwell (59' og.), Tilio (67'), van der Venne (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Friday, May 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Friday, May 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
53.52% ( 0.08)	22.06% ( -0.02)	24.43% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 61.05% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76% (

0.06)

38.24% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.48% (

0.06)

60.52% (

-0.06)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.63% (

0.05)

14.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.75% (

0.09)

42.25% (

-0.08)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

-0.01)

28.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0.01)

64.54% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 53.52%

Sydney FC 24.43%

Draw 22.06%

Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.52%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.06%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 24.43%