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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 7, 2023 at 8am UK
Coopers Stadium
Sydney FC

Adelaide United
1 - 1
Sydney FC

Goodwin (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
le Fondre (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-3 Adelaide United
Friday, March 31 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-3 Western Utd
Saturday, April 1 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
38.63% (-0.396 -0.4)22.92% (0.147 0.15)38.45% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 65.68% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58% (-0.75699999999999 -0.76)35.43% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54% (-0.844 -0.84)57.46% (0.84500000000001 0.85)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.50399999999999 -0.5)18.92% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.844 -0.84)50.42% (0.844 0.84)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.214 -0.21)19% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-0.36 -0.36)50.55% (0.36 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 38.63%
    Sydney FC 38.45%
    Draw 22.92%
Adelaide UnitedDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 2.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.185 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 38.45%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Sydney FC

Adelaide United
93.3%
Draw
6.7%
Sydney FC
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 5am
Sydney FC
2-2
Adelaide United
Lolley (48'), Wood (52')
Kitto (13'), Van Der Saag (58')
Ibusuki (40')
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-3
Adelaide United
Grant (6'), Buhagiar (62')
Grant (43'), Ninkovic (57'), Yazbek (79')
Goodwin (36', 90+5'), Blackwood (89')
Goodwin (40'), Cavallo (66'), Popovic (79')
Feb 4, 2022 8.45am
Adelaide United
1-2
Sydney FC
Mauk (32')
Kamsoba (10'), Bobo (73')
Donachie (65')
Jun 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-1
Adelaide United
Le Fondre (24' pen.), Bobo (43')
Juande (64')
Juande (49'), Lopez (52'), Mauk (74')
May 29, 2021 10.10am
Adelaide United
1-4
Sydney FC
Dukuly (89')
Elsey (41')
Elsey (63')
Le Fondre (6', 54'), Bobo (58'), Wood (71')
Wood (88'), Van Der Saag (90+4')