Australian A-League
Gameweek
20
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-
Jason Hoffman
16'
-
Angus Thurgate
45'+3'
-
Craig Goodwin
12'
-
Zach Clough
14'
-
Luka Jovanovic
44'
-
Nestory Irankunda
65'
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result
Newcastle Jets
42.09%
▼
(-0.47)
Draw
23.05%
▼
(-0.07)
Adelaide United
34.86%
▲
(+0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
64.71%
▲
(+0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.51%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 2.5
36.49%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 3.5
41.36%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 3.5
58.63%
▼
(-0.51)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5
82.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
17.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
51.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
48.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5
78.79%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
21.21%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 1.5
45.9%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 1.5
54.09%
▼
(-0.76)
Score analysis
Newcastle Jets
42.09%
Draw
23.05%
Adelaide United
34.86%
Newcastle Jets
2-1
@
8.71%
▼
(-0.08)
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 42.09%
1-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 42.09%
Draw
1-1
@
10.12%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.05%
2-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.05%
Adelaide United
1-2
@
7.85%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 34.86%
0-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 34.86%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
-
Jaushua Sotirio
25'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
18
-
George Blackwood
3'
-
Ryan Kitto
15'
-
Juande
37'
-
Nestory Irankunda
78'
-
Mohamed Toure
88'
-
Mohamed Toure
89'
-
Angus Thurgate
65'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Beka Mikeltadze
59'
-
Angus Thurgate
87'
-
Juande
15'
-
Javi Lopez
22'
-
Jacob Tratt
28'
-
Mohamed Toure
29'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
80'
-
Nestory Irankunda
88'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
90'+1'
-
Louis D'Arrigo
90'+4'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
13
-
Steven Ugarkovic
35'
-
Liridon Krasniqi
49'
-
Nigel Boogaard
51'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
69'
-
Ramy Najjarine
71'
-
Kusini Yengi
5'
-
Stefan Mauk
11'
-
Ben Halloran
40'
-
Craig Goodwin
43'
-
Kusini Yengi
74'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
19
-
Louis D'Arrigo
6'
-
Ben Halloran
17'
-
Craig Goodwin
77'
-
Stefan Mauk
81'
-
Connor O'Toole
22'
-
Ali Abbas
25'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
-
Mirko Boland
30'
-
Michael Jakobsen
60'
-
Bobby Burns
14'
-
Roy O'Donovan
41'
-
Matthew Millar
51'
-
Nigel Boogaard
53'
-
Steven Ugarkovic
54'