Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 4, 2023 at 2am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Elliot (40'), Zawada (45+6' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saito (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Wellington
Friday, February 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Western Utd
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wellington Phoenix.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
46.56% ( 0.3)	23.96% ( -0.04)	29.49% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 58.92% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94% (

0.05)

43.06% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54% (

0.05)

65.46% (

-0.04)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

0.14)

18.68% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98% (

0.23)

50.02% (

-0.23)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

-0.14)

27.55% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.94% (

-0.19)

63.06% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 46.56%

Newcastle Jets 29.49%

Draw 23.96%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.49%