Adelaide United
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Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 17, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Whitten Oval
Wellington Phoenix

Western Utd
0 - 3
Wellington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sasse (19'), Kraev (58'), Zawada (64' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Wellington
Sunday, February 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
36.56% (0.63 0.63)25.25% (-0.235 -0.23)38.19% (-0.395 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.868 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (1.099 1.1)46.82% (-1.099 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (1.021 1.02)69.07% (-1.02 -1.02)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.864 0.86)25.04% (-0.866 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (1.184 1.18)59.71% (-1.184 -1.18)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.288 0.29)24.16% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.407 0.41)58.47% (-0.408 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Western United 36.56%
    Wellington Phoenix 38.19%
    Draw 25.24%
Western UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Wellington

Western United
34.1%
Draw
27.3%
Wellington Phoenix
38.6%
44
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2am
Wellington
2-3
Western Utd
Zawada (22'), Kraev (59')
Tratt (64'), Prijovic (84'), Diamanti (90+5')
Risdon (80')
May 14, 2022 10.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Wellington
Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')

Lewis (51')
Apr 9, 2022 5.05am
Western Utd
1-4
Wellington
Lustica (54')
Prijovic (34'), Lacroix (47')
Wootton (29'), Sotirio (32', 63'), Sandoval (45+2' pen.)
Sandoval (21'), Elliot (84')
Jan 21, 2022 8.45am
Wellington
2-1
Western Utd
Sandoval (16'), Hooper (35')
Lustica (90+4')
Lustica (6'), Risdon (57')
Imai (90+1')
May 22, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Western Utd
Lewis (38'), Piscopo (57'), Hemed (63')
Devlin (31'), Waine (90+2'), Lewis (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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