Wellington

2 - 1

Western Utd

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 53.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.