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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Nov 13, 2022 at 2am UK
Westpac Stadium
Western United

Wellington
2 - 3
Western Utd

Zawada (22'), Kraev (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tratt (64'), Prijovic (84'), Diamanti (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 4-1 Macarthur
Sunday, November 6 at 2am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 2-4 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 6 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
46.07% (0.709 0.71)23.84% (-0.197 -0.2)30.08% (-0.509 -0.51)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.405 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.661 0.66)42.2% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (0.66 0.66)64.61% (-0.657 -0.66)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.556 0.56)18.54% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22% (0.928 0.93)49.78% (-0.925 -0.93)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 46.07%
    Western United 30.09%
    Draw 23.84%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.09%

Head to Head
May 14, 2022 10.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Wellington
Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')

Lewis (51')
Apr 9, 2022 5.05am
Western Utd
1-4
Wellington
Lustica (54')
Prijovic (34'), Lacroix (47')
Wootton (29'), Sotirio (32', 63'), Sandoval (45+2' pen.)
Sandoval (21'), Elliot (84')
Jan 21, 2022 8.45am
Wellington
2-1
Western Utd
Sandoval (16'), Hooper (35')
Lustica (90+4')
Lustica (6'), Risdon (57')
Imai (90+1')
May 22, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Western Utd
Lewis (38'), Piscopo (57'), Hemed (63')
Devlin (31'), Waine (90+2'), Lewis (90+3')
Apr 22, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
1-1
Wellington
Wales (27')
Uskok (10'), Hamill (24'), Durante (40'), Sanchez (53'), Scott (90+4')
Hamill (45+2')
Waine (7')
Taylor (21'), Sotirio (25'), Ball (69')