Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 6, 2022 at 6am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
2 - 4
Adelaide United

Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 7.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 30 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
35.11% ( 0.13)	24.82% ( 0.03)	40.07% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55% (

-0.11)

45% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65% (

-0.11)

67.35% (

0.11)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

0.03)

25.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.33% (

0.03)

59.67% (

-0.03)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.13)

22.38% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.19)

55.89% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Western United 35.11%

Adelaide United 40.07%

Draw 24.82%

Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.11%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.07%