Adelaide United
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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 at 7.15am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Western United

Central Coast
4 - 2
Western Utd

Cummings (67'), N'Kololo (74'), Farrell (78'), Ayongo (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milanovic (17'), Pain (28')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 23 at 7am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Macarthur
Friday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawWestern United
45.72% (-0.858 -0.86)25.13% (0.26 0.26)29.15% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.72% (-0.45500000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (-0.773 -0.77)48.47% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (-0.71 -0.71)70.6% (0.714 0.71)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.691 -0.69)21.22% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-1.085 -1.09)54.12% (1.09 1.09)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (0.033999999999992 0.03)30.53% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)66.75% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 45.72%
    Western United 29.15%
    Draw 25.13%
Central Coast MarinersDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.105 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.72%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.15%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 7.05am
Central Coast
1-0
Western Utd
Kuol (81')

Imai (85')
Apr 2, 2022 4.05am
Western Utd
2-2
Central Coast
Smith (46' og.), Prijovic (63')
Imai (15'), Lacroix (90')
Cummings (36', 64')
Rowles (74')
Jun 5, 2021 8.05am
Central Coast
2-0
Western Utd
Clisby (25'), Urena (90+5')
Rowles (13'), Stensness (55')

Markovic (53')
Apr 17, 2021 8.05am
Western Utd
1-0
Central Coast
Pain (5')
Hamill (47'), Imai (86'), Duzel (87')

Tongyik (30'), Rowles (58')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2021 7.10am
Central Coast
3-2
Western Utd
Simon (17'), Kuol (77', 81')
Tongyik (45'), Birighitti (90')
Uskok (4'), Berisha (42')
Lustica (26'), Sanchez (53'), Burgess (67')
rhs 2.0


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