MX23RW : Wednesday, June 29 01:34:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
May 21, 2022 at 8.15am UK at AAMI Park
Victory
1 - 4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Western United had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
54.16% (0.174 0.17) 22.97% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 22.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (0.145 0.15)44.1% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.143 0.14)66.48% (-0.14 -0.14)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.11499999999999 0.11)16.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (0.204 0.2)45.71% (-0.203 -0.2)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)33.22% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)69.83% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 54.16%
    Western United 22.87%
    Draw 22.96%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.87%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Utd

Melbourne Victory
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Western United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
May 28, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
1-6
Victory
Diamanti (45+3' pen.)
Pain (8'), Guarrotxena (55'), Uskok (88')
Brimmer (12'), Gestede (22'), Kamsoba (33', 50'), Folami (36'), Butterfield (82')
McManaman (55')

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