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Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2022 at 8.15am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Victory
1 - 4
Western Utd

Brimmer (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Western United had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
54.16% (0.174 0.17) 22.97% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 22.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.95% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (0.145 0.15)44.1% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.143 0.14)66.48% (-0.14 -0.14)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.11499999999999 0.11)16.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (0.204 0.2)45.71% (-0.203 -0.2)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)33.22% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)69.83% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 54.16%
    Western United 22.87%
    Draw 22.96%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.87%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Utd

Melbourne Victory
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Western United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
Victory
1-1
Western Utd
Hamill (85')
Marchan (78'), Miranda (90+2')
Topor-Stanley (47')
Risdon (13'), Imai (40'), Wales (90+4')
Dec 26, 2021 8.45am
Nov 20, 2021 8.45am
May 28, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
1-6
Victory
Diamanti (45+3' pen.)
Pain (8'), Guarrotxena (55'), Uskok (88')
Brimmer (12'), Gestede (22'), Kamsoba (33', 50'), Folami (36'), Butterfield (82')
McManaman (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wellington PhoenixWellington26148439261350
2Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast25154644261849
3Melbourne VictoryVictory261012440291142
4Macarthur2611874545041
5Sydney FCSydney FC26115104540538
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City261061049381136
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26104124045-534
8Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2686123951-1230
9Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2585124848029
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets26610103844-628
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2675143654-1826
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2657144562-1722


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