Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
44.72% | 25.1% | 30.18% |
Both teams to score 55.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.2% | 47.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% | 69.98% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% | 21.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.62% | 54.38% |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% | 29.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% | 65.46% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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