Macarthur
1 - 4
Victory

Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne Victory
36.93%	24.86%	38.21%

Both teams to score 58.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55%

45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.65%

67.35%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76%

24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74%

58.26%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.72%

57.28%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 36.93%

Melbourne Victory 38.21%

Draw 24.86%

Macarthur	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.46% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.21%