Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

May 6, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
1 - 2
Macarthur

Kamsoba (23')
Kruse (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Susaeta (31'), Meredith (69')
Milligan (80'), Derbyshire (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Macarthur
38.15%	24.46%	37.38%

Both teams to score 59.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.89%

43.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.49%

65.51%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49%

22.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92%

56.08%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09%

22.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33%

56.67%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 38.15%

Macarthur 37.38%

Draw 24.46%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.15%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 8.35% 0-1 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.38%