Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
32.83% | 24.78% | 42.39% |
Both teams to score 57.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% | 45.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% | 67.71% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% | 26.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% | 61.75% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.56% | 21.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.55% | 54.45% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.83% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-1 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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