Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Jun 4, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
0 - 3
Wellington

M'Mombwa (36'), Martis (61'), Najjar (78'), Susnjar (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ball (45+1'), Hemed (46'), Waine (90+2')
Lewis (62'), Rufer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
39.6%	24.07%	36.32%

Both teams to score 61.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.69%

41.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.3%

63.7%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22%

53.78%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35%

22.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.72%

56.28%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 39.6%

Wellington Phoenix 36.32%

Draw 24.07%

Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.6% 1-0 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.6%	1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.32%