Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 38.81% | 23.27% | 37.91% |
| Both teams to score 64.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% | 37.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.58% | 59.42% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% | 19.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% | 51.55% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% | 20.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.77% | 52.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.28% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-1 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.15% Total : 37.91% |