Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 42.6% | 25.57% | 31.83% |
| Both teams to score 54.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% | 49.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% | 71.25% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% | 22.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% | 56.76% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% | 29.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% | 64.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.83% |