Australian A-League | Gameweek 12

Apr 9, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Rose (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wenzel-Halls (12'), Danzaki (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
40.25%	24.95%	34.8%

Both teams to score 57.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.37%

45.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04%

67.96%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43%

22.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83%

56.17%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52%

25.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67%

60.33%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 40.25%

Brisbane Roar 34.8%

Draw 24.94%

Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.25%	1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.8%