Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 45.43% | 24.8% | 29.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% | 46.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% | 68.96% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% | 20.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% | 53.17% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% | 29.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.87% | 65.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.72% Total : 45.43% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.77% |