Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Apr 26, 2021 at 10.05am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Topor-Stanley (12' og.), Pierias (69')
Pierias (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yuel (26'), O'Donovan (60'), Krasniqi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
40.98%	23.99%	35.03%

Both teams to score 61.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.91%

41.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.51%

63.49%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38%

52.62%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76%

23.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.85%

57.15%

Score Analysis

Western United 40.98%

Newcastle Jets 35.03%

Draw 23.99%

Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.98%	1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.99%	1-2 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.03%