Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2021 10.05am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 12' goal
  • Dylan Pierias 57' yellowcard
  • Dylan Pierias 69' goal
  • yellowcard Valentino Yuel 26'
  • yellowcard Roy O'Donovan 60'
  • yellowcard Liridon Krasniqi 80'

Western United vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 22, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd 1 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Besart Berisha

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 18, 2021 9.10am
Macarthur 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Roy O'Donovan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result

Western United 40.98%
Draw 23.99%
Newcastle Jets 35.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.91%
Under 2.5 41.09%
Over 3.5 36.51%
Under 3.5 63.49%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 79.73%
Under 0.5 20.27%
Over 1.5 47.38%
Under 1.5 52.62%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 76.76%
Under 0.5 23.24%
Over 1.5 42.85%
Under 1.5 57.15%

Score analysis

Western United 40.98%
Draw 23.99%
Newcastle Jets 35.03%
Western United
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-2 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 40.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.99%
Newcastle Jets
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-1 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 5.02%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.03%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 5, 2021 8.05am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luka Prso 13' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthew Millar 73' yellowcard
  • Ali Abbas 90' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Wales 1'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hamill 67'
Australian A-League Gameweek 29
Aug 2, 2020 10.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roy O'Donovan 29' goal
  • Nigel Boogaard 71' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerry Skotadis 62'
  • yellowcard Andrew Durante 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2020 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nigel Boogaard 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oskar Dillon 29'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Nov 16, 2019 8.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)
  • Alessandro Diamanti 56' yellowcard
  • goal Angus Thurgate 36'
  • yellowcard Nick Fitzgerald 64'
  • yellowcard Jason Hoffman 76'