Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 17, 2021 at 8.05am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
1 - 0
Central Coast

Pain (5')
Hamill (47'), Imai (86'), Duzel (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tongyik (30'), Rowles (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
41.6%	23.8%	34.6%

Both teams to score 61.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72%

40.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.34%

62.66%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35%

19.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37%

51.63%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9%

23.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.05%

56.95%

Score Analysis

Western United 41.6%

Central Coast Mariners 34.6%

Draw 23.8%

Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.6%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.6%