Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
| 34.68% | 24.27% | 41.05% |
| Both teams to score 60.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.49% | 42.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.09% | 64.91% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% | 24.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% | 58.38% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% | 20.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% | 53.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.68% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.05% |