Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
34.68% | 24.27% | 41.05% |
Both teams to score 60.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.49% | 42.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.09% | 64.91% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% | 24.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% | 58.38% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% | 20.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% | 53.53% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.68% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 4.59% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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