Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
46.99% | 23.47% | 29.54% |
Both teams to score 60.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% | 40.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% | 63.15% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% | 17.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% | 48.19% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% | 26.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% | 61.5% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.87% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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