Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 46.99% | 23.47% | 29.54% |
| Both teams to score 60.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% | 40.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% | 63.15% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% | 17.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% | 48.19% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% | 26.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.87% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.54% |