Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 47.29% | 22.72% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 63.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.09% | 36.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.91% | 59.09% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% | 16.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% | 45.36% |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% | 24.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% | 58.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.29% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 3.87% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.99% |