Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
21.26% | 22.29% | 56.45% |
Both teams to score 55.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% | 43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% | 65.4% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.91% | 34.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.22% | 70.78% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.95% | 15.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.45% | 43.55% |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.26% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 5.81% 2-3 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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