Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Feb 3, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford

Central Coast
3 - 2
Melbourne City

Cassella (41'), Simon (57' pen.), De Silva (80')
Cassella (53')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Luna (23'), MacLaren (31')
Stokes (35'), Atkinson (64')
Stokes (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Central Coast Mariners win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
21.26%	22.29%	56.45%

Both teams to score 55.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57%

43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.6%

65.4%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91%

34.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.78%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95%

15.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.45%

43.55%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 21.26%

Melbourne City 56.45%

Draw 22.28%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.26%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 6.25% 0-3 @ 5.81% 2-3 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.45%