Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Feb 20, 2021 at 6.05am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
4 - 1
Macarthur

Guarrotxena (26'), Berisha (45', 66'), Pierias (54')
Lustica (20')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Derbyshire (90+1')
Susnjar (25'), Susaeta (68'), Hollman (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Macarthur
43.61%	22.27%	34.13%

Both teams to score 67.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.25%

32.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.56%

54.45%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.24%

15.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.11%

44.89%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15%

19.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05%

51.96%

Score Analysis

Western United 43.61%

Macarthur 34.13%

Draw 22.27%

Western United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-3 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.01% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 6.98% 0-0 @ 3.13% 3-3 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.27%	1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.52% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.13%