Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Jan 31, 2021 at 5.05am UK

Bluetongue Stadium, Gosford

Central Coast
1 - 2
Wellington

Kuol (41')
Kuol (12')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Davila (15'), Sotirio (88')
Davila (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
29.98%	25.06%	44.96%

Both teams to score 55.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.26%

47.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.07%

69.93%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74%

21.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83%

54.17%

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 29.98%

Wellington Phoenix 44.96%

Draw 25.05%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 7.66% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.98%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.96%