Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2021 8.05am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Derbyshire 66' goal
  • Matt Derbyshire 73' goal
  • Mark Milligan 83' goal
  • Matt Derbyshire 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Halloran 3'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 58'

Macarthur vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 9, 2021 8.35am
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Macarthur
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matt Derbyshire

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 5, 2021 8.05am
Adelaide United 1 - 2 Perth Glory
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Stefan Mauk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Macarthur 27.21%
Draw 21.9%
Adelaide United 50.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.59%

Goals

Over 2.5 65.16%
Under 2.5 34.84%
Over 3.5 43.19%
Under 3.5 56.82%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 75.12%
Under 0.5 24.88%
Over 1.5 40.51%
Under 1.5 59.49%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 85.98%
Under 0.5 14.03%
Over 1.5 58.42%
Under 1.5 41.58%

Score analysis

Macarthur 27.21%
Draw 21.9%
Adelaide United 50.89%
Macarthur
2-1 @ 6.63%
1-0 @ 4.85%
2-0 @ 3.38%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 1.57%
4-1 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 3.49%
3-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.9%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 6.13%
0-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 4.27%
1-4 @ 3.01%
0-4 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 2.1%
1-5 @ 1.18%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 50.89%