Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Jan 3, 2021 at 5.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
0 - 2
Central Coast

Derbyshire (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

De Silva (35'), Smylie (89')
Kuol (45+1'), Simon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 79.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-3 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
8.02%	12.3%	79.68%

Both teams to score 56.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.45%

24.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.65%

44.35%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78%

40.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15%

76.85%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.22%

4.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.67%

19.34%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 8.02%

Central Coast Mariners 79.68%

Draw 12.3%

Macarthur	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 2.43% 1-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 8.02%	1-1 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.69% 0-0 @ 1.92% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.3%	0-3 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.9% 1-3 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-4 @ 6.86% 1-4 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-5 @ 4.17% 1-5 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.74% 2-4 @ 2.84% 0-6 @ 2.11% 1-6 @ 1.93% 2-5 @ 1.73% 0-7 @ 0.92% Other @ 5.25% Total : 79.68%