Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 79.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-3 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
8.02% | 12.3% | 79.68% |
Both teams to score 56.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.45% | 24.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.65% | 44.35% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.78% | 40.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.15% | 76.85% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.22% | 4.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.67% | 19.34% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 2.43% 1-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 8.02% | 1-1 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.69% 0-0 @ 1.92% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.3% | 0-3 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.9% 1-3 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-4 @ 6.86% 1-4 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-5 @ 4.17% 1-5 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.74% 2-4 @ 2.84% 0-6 @ 2.11% 1-6 @ 1.93% 2-5 @ 1.73% 0-7 @ 0.92% Other @ 5.25% Total : 79.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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