Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Jan 9, 2021 at 6.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
1 - 1
Wellington

Susaeta (67')
Meredith (29'), Milligan (38'), Genreau (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ball (39', 39')
DeVere (54'), Ball (74'), Devlin (83')
Rufer (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
29.09%	23.39%	47.53%

Both teams to score 60.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35%

40.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96%

63.03%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4%

26.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17%

61.82%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64%

17.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25%

47.75%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 29.09%

Wellington Phoenix 47.53%

Draw 23.38%

Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.09%	1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 9.38% 0-1 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.97% Total : 47.53%