Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.68% | 24.65% | 37.67% |
Both teams to score 59.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.01% | 43.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.63% | 66.37% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% | 23.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% | 57.02% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% | 23.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.98% | 57.02% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.68% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 18 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 2 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 2 |
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