Liga MX
Dec 12, 2025 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jesus Angulo 17' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 18' yellowcard
  • 18' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 46' goal
  • Jesus Garza 63' yellowcard
  • Jose Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 23'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 24'
  • redcard Robert Morales 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 90'+2'

Tigres vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 3.10am
Tigres 1 - 1 Cruz Azul
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Angel Correa

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 1.00am
Toluca 3 - 2 Monterrey
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Tigres 44.24%
Draw 24.15%
Toluca 31.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.11%
Under 2.5 42.89%
Over 3.5 34.71%
Under 3.5 65.29%
Over 4.5 18.05%
Under 4.5 81.95%

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 80.42%
Under 0.5 19.58%
Over 1.5 48.5%
Under 1.5 51.5%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 73.92%
Under 0.5 26.08%
Over 1.5 38.86%
Under 1.5 61.14%

Score analysis

Tigres 44.24%
Draw 24.14%
Toluca 31.61%
Tigres
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.14%
Toluca
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 31.61%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 3
Jul 27, 2025 2.00am
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX
May 18, 2025 2.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 18' goal
  • Alexis Vega 18' goal
  • Juan Dominguez 37' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 37' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 61' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 61' yellowcard
  • Edgar Lopez 79' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 79' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • Alexis Vega 82' goal
  • yellowcard Joaquim 16'
  • yellowcard Joaquim 16'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 26'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 26'
Liga MX
May 15, 2025 4.00am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Nicolas Ibanez 19' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 89' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Guzman 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • goal Paulinho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Juan Dominguez 90'+3'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 2, 2025 3.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Nov 7, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
  • 1' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Alexis Vega 52' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 54' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 71' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 35'
  • redcard Sebastian Cordova 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 52'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Guzman 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 68'