Dec 7, 2025 1.00am

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT

Federico Pereira 19'
Paulinho 43'
Helinho 51'
Franco Romero 89'

Sergio Ramos 58'
Roberto de la Rosa 75'

Toluca vs Monterrey - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

L
D
W
D
D
D

Liga MX

L
D
W
D
D
D

Last game

Dec 4, 2025 3.10am

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Paulinho

Monterrey

All competitions

W
L
W
L
D
L

Liga MX

W
L
W
L
D
L

Last game

Dec 4, 2025 3.10am

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

German Berterame

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.97%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 1-2 (5.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 58.97%

Draw 20.13%

Monterrey 20.9%

Both Teams to Score:

63.23%

Goals

Over 2.5 66.74%

Under 2.5 33.26%

Over 3.5 44.98%

Under 3.5 55.02%

Over 4.5 26.28%

Under 4.5 73.72%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 88.85%

Under 0.5 11.15%

Over 1.5 64.39%

Under 1.5 35.61%

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 71.16%

Under 0.5 28.84%

Over 1.5 35.3%

Under 1.5 64.7%

Score analysis

Toluca 58.97%

Draw 20.13%

Monterrey 20.9%

Toluca

2-1 @ 9.62%

2-0 @ 7.74%

1-0 @ 7.05%

3-1 @ 7.04%

3-0 @ 5.66%

3-2 @ 4.37%

4-1 @ 3.86%

4-0 @ 3.1%

4-2 @ 2.4%

5-1 @ 1.69%

5-0 @ 1.36%

5-2 @ 1.05%

Other @ 4.02%

Total : 58.97%

Draw

1-1 @ 8.77%

2-2 @ 5.98%

0-0 @ 3.22%

3-3 @ 1.81%

Other @ 0.35%

Total : 20.13%

Monterrey

1-2 @ 5.45%

0-1 @ 4%

0-2 @ 2.49%

2-3 @ 2.48%

1-3 @ 2.26%

0-3 @ 1.03%

Other @ 3.2%

Total : 20.9%

Head to Head

Dec 4, 2025 3.10am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

German Berterame 39'
German Berterame 80'

Helinho 59'
Diego Barbosa 74'
Jesus Gallardo 89'

Sep 25, 2025 3.00am

6

2

HT : 0 0

FT

May 11, 2025 2.00am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Diego Barbosa 12'
Diego Barbosa 12'
Helinho 21'
Helinho 21'
Alexis Vega 30'
Alexis Vega 30'
Antonio Briseno 32'
Antonio Briseno 32'
Paulinho 45'+1'
Paulinho 45'+1'
Paulinho 68'
Paulinho 68'
Federico Pereira 80'
Federico Pereira 80'

Ricardo Chavez 19'
Ricardo Chavez 19'
Stefan Medina 41'
Stefan Medina 41'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'
Roberto de la Rosa 48'

May 8, 2025 2.00am

3

2

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Nelson Deossa 44'
Nelson Deossa 44'
Sergio Canales 50'
Sergio Canales 50'
Nelson Deossa 56'
Nelson Deossa 56'
German Berterame 69'
German Berterame 69'
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 82'
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 82'

Victor Guzman 17' (OG)
Victor Guzman 17' (OG)
Marcel Ruiz 56'
Marcel Ruiz 56'
Luan Garcia 82'
Luan Garcia 82'
Paulinho 90'+3'
Paulinho 90'+3'
Paulinho 90'+3'
Paulinho 90'+3'

Jan 19, 2025 1.00am

1

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Helinho 11'
Helinho 11'
Diego Barbosa 83'
Diego Barbosa 83'

Sergio Canales 47'
Sergio Canales 47'
Hector Moreno 66'
Hector Moreno 66'

Sep 1, 2024 2.00am

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Brandon Vazquez 54'
Brandon Vazquez 54'
Stefan Medina 90'+8'
Stefan Medina 90'+8'
German Berterame 90'+11'
German Berterame 90'+11'

Jesus Gallardo 6'
Jesus Gallardo 6'
Marcel Ruiz 59'
Marcel Ruiz 59'
Claudio Baeza 80'
Claudio Baeza 80'
Isaias Violante 87'
Isaias Violante 87'
Tiago Volpi 90'+11'
Tiago Volpi 90'+11'

Form Data

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 0 - 0 Juarez

Toluca 2 - 0 America

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 2 - 2 Pachuca

Tijuana 0 - 0 Toluca

Monterrey 1 - 0 Toluca

America 2 - 1 Monterrey

Monterrey 2 - 0 America

Guadalajara 4 - 2 Monterrey

Monterrey 1 - 1 Tigres

Cruz Azul 2 - 0 Monterrey